| Saturday, June 15, 2002 |
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More Hayman Fire News
By Diana Hsieh @ 8:40 PM
If you ever have a serious wildfire threatening your neighborhood, you want this man running the Type I response team:

He is Ron Raley, California Type 1 Team 5 Incident Commander for the US Forest Service. In essence, he is in charge of the fire fighting efforts for the North Hayman Fire. His crews have made great progress in the past few days of favorable weather. His briefings are clear, succinct, and forthright. He is genuinely concerned with returning people safely to their homes. It was an honor to shake his hand. (Fancy me saying that about a government official!)
The Douglas County web site seems to be doing a good job keeping their information on the fire up to date. (It's easier now that the fire isn't wildly out of control!) The fire status page is particularly useful. And I learned from the evacuation page that our neighborhood of Indian Creek is still on standby.
The fact sheet from the informational meeting tonight describes the behavior of the fire. It says: "Fire is creeping on the ground with occasional torching and a few short, intense runs; fire is spreading in multiple directions, southeast and northeast. Growth potential is extreme; terrain is difficult." It also mentions that the fire had burned 102,895 acres as of yesterday evening.
On the north side of the fire, the real danger lies in the north side of inside the "claw," along the South Platte River. (That's where the arrows are pointing on the map from the meeting below.) They have been backburning in that area to protect the homes, but unfavorable winds could cause the fire to jump the river and head northeast towards us again.

With favorable weather, they expect to get the fire under control in the next few days. (That doesn't include the portion of the fire along the west side that is burning wilderness.) So let's just hope the good weather holds!
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Hope and Despair
By Diana Hsieh @ 2:44 PM
There was no fire map posted yesterday, but the one below is current as of this morning. The yellow indicates the active perimeter.

Winds are gutsy and erratic today. But they aren't headed in our direction very often, which is good. I would guess that the risk of the wildfire seriously threatening our house is now pretty small, likely less than 15%. But it's difficult to know. I tend to swing between irrational despair and irrational hope, largely due to the overwhelming uncertainty of the whole situation.
I'll probably go to the informational meeting at the Castle Rock Middle School again tonight. Hopefully, the firefighters will report good news about containment.
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Benevolence, Schisms, and More
By Diana Hsieh @ 11:55 AM
Wow, maybe Andy Bernstein isn't all he's cracked up to be. This account of an evening with Andy paints a very different portrait of the man than I have heard elsewhere. (However, I should mention that the report was written by Chris Wolf, who has a tendency to act like a complete asshole on Usenet. But I have no reason to suspect him of dishonesty in his factual account, particularly since he was a rabid supporter of the ARI at the time.)
I suspect that Chris nailed the issue in his attempted explanation of the difference between Bernstein's rude behavior and his reputation as a good guy. He writes:
Why would Bernstein have behaved as he did? I think it was simply because he felt he was in the presence of people who weren't particularly important, or valuable, to him, so he treated them like dirt. He felt no need to be polite and benevolent, whereas a civilized man is always polite and benevolent.
(Chris Wolf really ought to take his own advice that "a civilized man is always polite and benevolent"!)
Such a dual personality seems to be common amongst ARI-affiliated bigwigs. I have heard from multiple sources that otherwise reasonable people turn into snarling beasts at the mention of the Nathaniel Branden, David Kelley, Chris Sciabarra, and other "traitors" to Ayn Rand. John Ridpath is reported to be one such person, as can be seen in these quotes from his review of Ayn Rand: The Russian Radical. In sharp contrast, I personally witnessed Ridpath treating committed communists pointedly accusing him of racism with respect and benevolence! For another example, see Ilana Dover's account of nastiness from Peikoff in response to an honest inquiry at the Lyceum. No matter how vehement intellectual disagreements are, people ought to remain glued to their manners!
Thankfully, this sort of behavior is entirely absent from the bigwigs of the TOC. While there may be strong disagreements, there are none of the schisms, denunciations, demands to conform, presumptions of evil that periodically plague ARI. That, I think, is a testament to David Kelley's good character and judgment, as well as the truth of the ideas he advocates in The Contested Legacy of Ayn Rand (formerly Truth and Toleration).
Oh, and in answer to a question about the origin of the apology, it was posted to humanities.philosophy.objectivism by Betsy Speicher.
Writing this reminded me of Damian Moskovitz's recent departure from the ARI, as documented in this letter. It is disappointing that Yaron Brook's reported comments at the 2001 conference about battling real enemies rather than fellow travellers doesn't mean much in practice.
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| Friday, June 14, 2002 |
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Duh!
By Diana Hsieh @ 10:10 PM
Sometimes, those on the left just don't get it. "Horrors! How dare you edit my works for the sake of political correctness!" Well, duh.
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It's About Time!
By Diana Hsieh @ 6:48 PM
Well, I've finally updated my blogroll. Apologies to all those people to whom I ought to have linked months ago, like VodkaPundit. The categories don't mean a whole lot, although they do roughly indicate my blogreading habits. Spaghetti, being an everyday all-purpose noodle, contains the blogs I read every day. Ramen, of course, is a guilty but infrequent pleasure.
Given the noodle theme of the blog, I probably ought to add that I don't eat many noodles in real life. I generally stick to a loose variation of the Zone Diet, which obviously precludes heavy carbohydrates like noodles. The diet never made me lose weight, but it does keep my energy level constant throughout the day and has eliminated those woozy fits of low blood sugar. But most importantly, it enables me to live life with only the occasional migraine. So hooray for protein!
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Death, Objectivist-Style
By Diana Hsieh @ 5:08 PM
Also very much worth reading in this month's Navigator is In the Same Room with the Dying Light, in which Charles Tomlinson talks about facing his own imminent death. (Tomlinson is the author of A View from My Stump, a "delightful set of essays and stories [on] one man's place in the natural world.")
Tomlinson's personal commentary on death is partially in response to an excellent article by Richard Speer on the Objectivist perspective on death and dying entitled The Dying of the Light published a few issues back. The article featured some excellent commentary on death from some leading Objectivists. One of the more insightful comments was, predictably, from David Kelley:
I think of death from two different perspectives that are not always easy to integrate... From one perspective, life and death are opposites, posing an alternative we face on an ongoing basis. This is a familiar perspective to Objectivists because our entire moral code is based on this alternative. From this perspective, we see death as a disvalue, a threat we confront in the form of the risk of illness or accidents that can kill us. If you value life, death represents the ultimate failure. From another perspective, however, death is a part of life. We all know we will die at some point, no matter how rational, productive, virtuous, or fortunate we are. In this sense, death cannot be considered a failure, unless and until we discover some way to extend the lifespan indefinitely. Most people, Objectivist or not, seem to integrate these two aspects of death perfectly well in a practical sense. We try to avoid dying before our time by minimizing risks [Perspective #1], but we also prepare for the time we know is coming [Perspective #2]. The harder task is integration at the emotional level. How can the love of life that is so characteristic of Rand's heroes, and that we seek to cultivate in ourselves, accommodate the acceptance of death as an inevitable fact?
The only surprising opinions in article were the silly wishful thinking from some prominent Objectivists on the subject of an afterlife. I suppose that it is natural to want more life. I certainly do. But that's no reason to abandon rational principles.
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Smoke and Small Cakes
By Diana Hsieh @ 9:20 AM
The neighborhood is covered in smoke again. The winds are mild, but clearly must be headed up in our direction. So I'm off to run a few errands this morning before the winds pick up speed this afternoon. The fire is now up to 100,000 acres. Wow.
Last night, I decided to treat myself by making a chiffon cake. They are baked in a tube pan (like an angel food cake). But my two-piece pan obviously needs replacement, as about half the batter leaked all over the bottom of the oven. So I have a chiffon cake, but it is a bit short. I suppose that half a chiffon cake is better than none. Speaking of which, I'm going to go have a slice for breakfast!
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The Postmodern Corporation
By Diana Hsieh @ 9:18 AM
Roger Donway had an interesting article in this month's Navigator entitled The Collapse of a Postmodern Corporation. He argues that Enron's collapse was not the result of fraud or incompetence, but rather a underlying postmodern philosophy that valued appearance and consensus rather than fact. His argument is an interesting one.
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| Thursday, June 13, 2002 |
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The Not-So-Informational Meeting
By Diana Hsieh @ 11:04 PM
I didn't learn much at the informational meeting tonight that I didn't already know. Oh, except that Paul and I probably should have gotten reverse-911 calls about the various stages of evacuation, but didn't. That's very bad. So I'll have to call the Sheriff tomorrow to see if that can be fixed. Otherwise, I'll make arrangements with a neighbor who is getting notified properly.
The winds are actually supposed to shift back towards us on Saturday, not Tuesday, as previously blogged. That wind shift is part of a system that will likely also dramatically lower the humidity. In the words of the firefighters at the meeting, such winds and low humidity would likely cause "adverse fire behavior." In short, I'm not looking forward to the weekend.
Below is the latest map, current as of this evening. The fire as a whole hasn't grown or shifted much today, gauging by the map. And our recent calm weather has allowed firefighters to go on the offensive on the north side today.

Two notes about the meeting:
There was a semi-lunatic at the meeting who kept bellowing "You are a servant, not a master!" to the public officials. He was (perhaps justifiably) angry at not being allowed back to his home after being evacuated, as it does not seem to be in immediate jeopardy anymore. A police officer almost had to haul him out. People need to be firmly attached enough to their manners such that they do not lose them in difficult times. That, after all, is when we need good manners the most.
The head of the Type I team for the north side of the fire seemed to be a genuine, knowledgeable, and skilled guy. He said the following, which echoes some of my comments about man versus wildfire without the cooperation of nature: "There is absolutely nothing that man can do to deal with that kind of fire; we can just get out of the way." "That kind of fire" is the type that was raging on Sunday, the kind that probably set a record by growing 19 miles and 55,000 acres in one day.
Let's hope we don't return to "that kind of fire" this weekend!
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Dashed Hopes and Missed Horses
By Diana Hsieh @ 5:12 PM
On the news tonight, the word is that the winds are supposed to turn back towards us on Tuesday. There is no rain in sight. So my fanciful hopes that I might somehow be able to attend the IHS seminar have been dashed. I was immensely looking forward to attending, but I suppose that I'll have to wait until next year.
But, at least things are calm enough tonight that I'll be able to attend the public meeting at the Castle Rock Elementary School without packing up the dogs and cats into the car. I might even be able to run a few errands at the same time.
Even though I haven't been riding much lately, I desperately miss the horses. (They are over at Mike Paul's farm, as he will be able to move them quickly out of danger if needed. I still haven't gotten around to buying a horse trailer.) The barn is ghostly empty, with unfinished hay in the hay racks from Monday morning. Perhaps I'll go visit them tomorrow, if everything seems calm here.
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Running the Numbers
By Diana Hsieh @ 12:26 PM
Those defending the Catholic Church in the sex abuse scandal have thrown around a lot of numbers concerning the actual number of pedophile priests. The percentage is supposed to be vanishingly small, certainly no greater than found in religious denominations that allow married clergy. I have long wondered how the apologists arrived at these numbers, as much of the scandal involves the concealment data from outside sources. As it turns out, I had good reason to be suspicious, as this Washington Post article indicates. (Link thanks to Instapundit.)
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Oh no!
By Diana Hsieh @ 12:25 PM
Oh, heaven forbid that Little League have any competition! (Link thanks to Little Missy.)
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| Wednesday, June 12, 2002 |
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Finally!
By Diana Hsieh @ 10:16 PM
Finally, an updated map of the Hayman Fire has been posted! This one is current as of Wednesday evening.

As you can see by comparison to yesterday's evening's map, the fire hasn't grown much towards us (to the northeast) in the past 24 hours. In fact, the fire's growth rate has really leveled over the past 36 hours. The Hayman fire is now estimated to be 90,000 acres.
There were reports this afternoon that the fire had destroyed 30 homes in the Turkey Rock subdivision, but that appears to be false. 9 News reports:
A lieutenant with the Teller County Sheriff's office denies reports that homes have burned at Turkey Rock subdivision. Earlier Wednesday afternoon, the U.S. Forest Service said that 30 homes burned there. The lieutenant says a deputy was at Turkey Rock Wednesday and is emphatic that no homes have burned.
I'm sure that's welcome news for those living in Turkey Rock.
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American Hostages
By Diana Hsieh @ 3:23 PM
A few weeks ago, I saw an interview with Pat Roush on O'Reilly. Her two small girls were kidnapped and taken to Saudi Arabia by their Saudi father 16 years ago. The State Department has been less than helpful in securing their return. Being women, they are unable to leave that wretched country without permission from a husband or father. (One has been married off.) The mother is simply wishing them to be returned to America so that they may decide for themselves where to live. Our government ought to be flogged for not doing more to secure the rights of these captive Americans. Given the laws of Saudi Arabia, such children ought to be regarded as hostages. Our government ought to demand their immediate release. Our embassy in Saudi Arabia ought to help smuggle these children back to the US.
The story is laid out in this commentary. The piece also mentions Dria Davis, who was forcibly taken to Saudi Arabia when she was 11. She managed to escape more-or-less by herself when she was 13. That seemed like an incredible story to me, so I went searching for details. Here they are. Wow.
Given the beatings she endured by her psychopathic father, this girl would probably be dead by now if her family in the US had stuck to diplomatic channels.
(I haven't been keeping up with OpinionJournal lately, so I found this tidbit thanks to Little Green Footballs.)
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Good News
By Diana Hsieh @ 2:30 PM
Good news! We've been downgraded from "evacuation highly recommended" back to "evacuation standby." Apparently the fire has slowed down thanks to some cooperation from Mother Nature.
I was pleased to find this Douglas County information to be useful and up-to-date, thanks to NZ Bear. Also: Jefferson County residents can find information here. Teller County information in on their main page. Park County doesn't have any information on their web site.
The fire maps haven't been updated since yesterday afternoon, although they should be updated twice per day. I'll post a new one when they arrive.
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Fire Update
By Diana Hsieh @ 9:59 AM
We're holding steady here today. The winds are mostly out of the northeast, so they are pushing the fire southwest, away from us. We're not out of danger yet though, for a shift in the winds could put us back into the line of fire, literally.
Paul is at work, so I'm here with the the beasts. The cats are delighted to be allowed outside again, as they complained bitterly about being locked in over the past two days. (Fanny is particularly adept at bitterly complaining, given her normally bellowing meow.)
So I'm going to try to get some work done on my seven lectures for the TOC Summer Seminar. It's been hard to focus on such ordinary matters these past few days. But time is ticking away, so focus I shall!
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| Tuesday, June 11, 2002 |
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The Weakest Link
By Diana Hsieh @ 11:43 PM
Cultures with institutionalized oppression of women produce weak and whiny men. The evidence? Many Arabs (particularly Saudis) seem completely unable to keep their egos intact when faced with the sharp tongue of Rita Khoury, the female host of Lebanese version the "The Weakest Link."
Fancy that.
This story is particularly interesting because it highlights just how wrong so many leftist feminists are about masculinity. They tend to regard cultures that oppress women as excessively masculine, as strong and domineering. On this view, masculinity itself is immoral, due to its inherent aggressiveness. Men being men means fighting and looting and pillaging and raping and so on. (Don't believe me? Go see the report of Bell Hooks' recent commencement speech at Southwestern University.)
But male cultures that engage in institutionalized oppression of women are neither strong nor masculine. They are weak and fearful and inadequate and insecure. The men participating in them do not dominate others from a Nietzschean sense of strength, but from a neurotic sense of weakness. And they choose to dominate women because, as psychologically weak men, they are at least unlikely to lose a battle with the physically weaker sex.
But they do lose the battle in this game show, as host Rita Khoury notes:
Educated and urbane men who come on the show relish it as a challenge, but the more traditional ones have more difficulty putting up with it. I try to provoke them, not humiliate them, but it's not my problem if they can't answer."
Delightful!
(Shameless plug: My essay developing an Objectivist theory of masculinity and femininity is available in the 1999 anthology Feminist Interpretations of Ayn Rand, edited by Mimi Gladstein and Chris Sciabarra. It's entitled "Sex and Gender Through an Egoist Lens: Masculinity and Femininity in the Philosophy of Ayn Rand" and is published under my maiden name, Diana Mertz Brickell.)
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Map Update
By Diana Hsieh @ 8:29 PM
Okay, so here's a fairly recent picture of the size and location of the Hayman fire. Paul and I live right around the green "67" sign. To give you an idea of the growth of this fire, yesterday, it was just coming around Cheesman lake, which is now smack dab in the middle of the fire.

However, I think that most of the explosive growth northward occurred yesterday. It doesn't seem to have expanded much in our direction today, thankfully.
This map (warning: large) shows how the burn area from the Schoonover fire in May is retarding the advancement of the eastern wing of the fire. Of course, that old burn might just push the fire eastward, toward civilization. (That map comes from this page of perimeter maps.)
For up-to-date evacuation and weather info, try the 9 News site.
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Still Here
By Diana Hsieh @ 5:02 PM
Well, we're still here. The wait is interminable. But at least the house is still standing.
I was originally planning to leave for Maryland tomorrow morning, but that's clearly not happening now. I was going to spend a few days with my folks on their farm outside of Baltimore, then head down to the UVA for the IHS Social Change Workshop. I've managed to reschedule my flight for Friday. We aren't out of danger by then, I'll have to cancel the trip entirely, which would be most distressing. (I am very much looking forward to both visiting with my parents and the IHS seminar.)
We're all packed up and ready to go in case we get that order to evacuate. We haven't decided yet where we'll go, although we have received a number of generous offers. Mostly I am worried about setting up a comfortable and easy-to-manage situation for the dogs and cats. Given that primary consideration, a hotel might be our best bet. That's something we probably ought to arrange sooner rather than later.
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Evacuation "Highly Encouaged"
By Diana Hsieh @ 9:27 AM
We're still here. When I woke up this morning at 6am, the whole neighborhood was covered in a pungent gray smoke. The mountains were invisible again. There was nothing new in the news though, so I went back to sleep.
I just woke up again and noticed that in the news ticker, the Douglas County Sheriff has said that evacuation in our area is "highly encouraged." We're not going to leave yet, I don't think. We'll wait for either a mandatory evacuation notice or for the fire to be visible on the ridge 3 miles away.
I'm off to take a shower and get ready to go go go.
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| Monday, June 10, 2002 |
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Fire Update
By Diana Hsieh @ 10:20 PM
Many thanks to everyone for their kind comments and wishes.
We are still here at home, awaiting an order to evacuate. Morale was greatly improved in the Hsieh household this evening thanks to a delicious meal of pork chops and apples with a sage cream sauce. (That's one of my favorite recipes from the always-amazing Cooks Illustrated.) Earthly pleasures are, I submit, essential in a crisis.
The Hayman fire is now the largest wildfire in Colorado history. Ah, the joys of being part of history!
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Even Worse
By Diana Hsieh @ 12:56 PM
I was hopeful about the wildfire, until I saw this map. I think that it might be time to start loading up the cars.
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Letter to Glenn
By Diana Hsieh @ 12:12 PM
I wrote the following in a letter to Mr Instapundit in response to his blog entry about the Glenwood Springs fire:
Hi Glenn --
I saw your post on the Glenwood Springs fire. But that's not the only burning problem amongst bloggers right now, so to speak.
That non-existent God must be really mad at GeekPress and Noodlefood, as the Hayman fire currently headed toward us has doubled in size as of this morning to over 60,000 acres. It is essentially 0% contained -- and is headed towards populated areas.
We are on evacuation alert at the moment. I have been told that we will have about an hour to evacuate when the word comes.
Fighting wildfires without the cooperation of weather is like trying to empty the ocean with a teaspoon. But the government still spends millions in that futile attempt to save structures that could be rebuilt for much less money. People clamor for the government to "do something, do anything!"
Of course, I understand the despair at the prospect of losing a beloved home. And I understand the simple fear and uncertainty of a fast-moving wildfire. But people need to get past those emotions and realize that the cost in tax dollars and the risk to the lives of fire fighters is simply not worth preserving material things that can easily be replaced. Unfortunately, such observations are the result of more experience with the devastation of fire than I would care to remember.
All that matters is preserving life. Everything else can be replaced.
That being said, the person who started this wildfire by (illegally) building a campfire in this well-known time of drought and high fire risk ought to be strung up and shot.
diana.
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Even Worse
By Diana Hsieh @ 9:32 AM
We are on evacuation alert for the Hayman wildfire. If we do get the order to evacuate, we'll have an hour to do so. So don't expect much from me today.
I haven't been able to find any updated maps of the perimeter of the fire this morning, which is frustrating. The local news here, unlike that in San Diego during the Alpine fire, has been less than helpful. They have only been showing uselessly general maps of the whole Denver metro area, so it's impossible to tell how close the fire has come. Overall, they seem much more concerned with the smoke over Denver than the fire raging towards populated areas.
Augh.
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| Sunday, June 09, 2002 |
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All Bad
By Diana Hsieh @ 9:46 PM
The Hayman wildfire is growing explosively... towards us. Augh.
Back in January of 2001, our house was threatened by a fast burning and serious wildfire in Alpine, California. It passed within a mile of our house to both the east and the south. That experience taught me that humans can do little (other than waste money) to combat an active wildfire. It's all boils down to weather, weather, and weather.
Unfortunately, the sun and wind will be continuing for the next few days here in Sedalia. So this Hayman fire will likely continue to grow.
This whole summer is going to be miserable from a wildfire perspective. We didn't get any moisture this spring. So we can only expect one fire after another.
I don't worry about our house or the stuff in it. But I am concerned with the safety of the beasts, particularly since I will be absent for 22 of the next 27 days at various conferences.
Augh.
UPDATE: The new perimeter map is now up. Click to enlarge to a readable size.
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Pithy Quote
By Diana Hsieh @ 1:22 PM
Pithy quote of the day, in response to this blog entry on the need for philosophers to understand psychology better and psychologists to understand philosophy better, courtesy of Robert Campbell:
Psychologists need better training in dealing with arguments, and philosophers need better training in dealing with evidence.
Bingo!
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Miss Manners
By Diana Hsieh @ 8:35 AM
Miss Manners has a great column today concerning politeness in marriage. My favorite bit:
Loyal, loving spouses sometimes think, "I'm so lucky I married you" and "You get cuter all the time," both of which should be stated, although preferably not while the person in question is trying to recover accidentally deleted work that is due the following morning.
But those loyal, loving spouses may also have such thoughts as "I suppose you can't help it, but how can any human being be that clumsy?" and "If you died, nobody would mind my leaving my stuff where I want it."
These thoughts and feelings should not be shared.
Miss Manners is, I think, one of the most delightfully witty columnists published today. (Her answer to the nametag-Queen question at the end of the column was hysterical, in her usual masterfully subdued way.)
In general, I'm a big fan of Miss Manners -- and the advice she doles out. (Back in March, I positively reviewed Judith Martin's book The Right Thing to Say.) Proper manners are an important way of smoothing out interactions between people, of making them easy and pleasant and predictable. Without such manners, moral dilemmas abound. In fact, many of the perceived moral conflicts in honesty (like between honesty and tact or honesty and privacy) easily melt away with knowledge of the range of options that good manners offers us. So hooray for manners!
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